INFORSE has developed the "Vision2050" scenario models for global, regional and national scales for the period 2000 - 2050. With these models, the scenarios show how we can move towards supplying 100% of our energy needs for renewable sources in 20 to 40 years, starting from 2010. The scenarios developed in the last years, show that the transition is even possible earlier than 2050, e.g. by 2040 in the EU and by 2030 in Denmark.
The energy balancing model for national energy-systems was developed in 2001-02 by the INFORSE network. It was launched with a Global Vision for the whole world in 2002. Since then, the model has been used to simulate the potential scenarios for a number of countries by NGOs of the INFORSE network.
The model consists of linked excel spreadsheets, which are used to input the details of the energy system supply and demand. The statistics used are from the International Energy Agency, and national statistics. Lately, the model is complemented with using EnergyPLAN developed by Aalborg University, Denmark.

Contact: Gunnar Boye Olesen, INFORSE-Europe. See more details at the end of this page.

Read a summary in the INFORSE Sustainable Energy Vision Brochure: Download Vision Brochure, Version December 2012/2010 (391 kB).

Read on the latest development and cooperation projects, where the model or the experiences of the model was used or is being used in the last years:

East Africa:
- 100 % Renewable Energy Scenarios in Africa including Kenya and Uganda published within the EASE CA project in 2020-23.
- Uganda by UCSD, Uganda, February 2023. Program of Event (hybrid) - 9 February 2023.
Report and read more at Uganda Coalition for Sustainable Development and UCSD Recources and at pdf at INORSE East Africa
- Kenya by Suswatch Kenya 2000-21, 2023. Report and read more: SuswatchKenya.org and pdf at INFORSE-East Africa

Nordic - Baltic Counties within the "Integrating Energy Sufficiency into Modelling of Sustainable Energy Scenarios" Project in 2020-21.

Belarus, Ukraine within SELNEE project in 2020-21.

Armenia, Belarus, Macedonia, Serbia, Ukraine within the ASET project in 2016-17.

Belarus Regions within the ECSE Project in 2012-14.

Explore the original INFORSE's Global and Regional Scenarios:
• Global Vision launched with a presentation in 2002 at WSSD, Rio+10 in Johannesburg, South Africa. The Global Scenario "Vision 2050" was one of the first scenarios for the whole world simulating that a 100 % renewable future is possible.
• EU-27 Vision, Scenario for Phase out of Fossil and Nuclear Energy Until 2040 (2011)
• EU-25 Vision, Scenario for Phase out of Fossil and Nuclear Energy Until 2050 (2004)

Explore INFORSE's Country Scenarios developed in the period from 2003 and 2014:
• Belarus, transition to renewable energy and economic calculations (2003, updated 2011, 2016-17, 2020)
• Region of Belarus - Latvia - Lithuania, transition to renewable energy (2011)
• Bulgaria, transition to renewable energy (updated December 2010, December 2014)
• Denmark, (Updated in March 2015: 3rd version developed in 2014)
• Estonia, transition to renewable energy (2011)
• Hungary, transition to renewable energy (2nd version published in December 2014)
• Latvia, transition to renewable until 2040, economic calculations until 2020, (update December 2010)
• Lithuania, transition to renewable energy (December 2010)
• Romania, transition to renewable energy (2007)
• Russia, transition to renewable energy (2008)
• Slovakia, transition to renewable energy (2002)
• Ukraine, transition to renewable energy, (2003, with later update on 2016-17, 2020-21)

Explore INFORSE Members' Scenarios:
• UK ZeroCarbonBritain phase put fossil fuels until 2030 (NEW 4th Report published in February 2017) developed by Center for Alternative Technology (CAT), UK.

How Can NGOs Use Sustainable Energy Visions, Scenarios and Plans
Since the 1970's NGOs have made alternative energy plans and visions, and have found that they are able to improve their work and be better accepted in the society, when they have well prepared plans and visions that support their proposals.
Read an overview of "How to use Sustainable Energy Visions" (pdf 28 kB) for NGOs.

Developing National Visions
INFORSE-Europe has developed a serial of spread sheets that can be used to make energy balances decade by decade, illustrating a possible development 2000-2050. With inputs in the form of a current energy balance and trends for development in energy service demand, energy efficiency, fuel shift and development of renewable energy, it is possible to make possible future energy balances, following the Vision2050. The tool also calculates CO2 emissions.

The tool is available free to INFORSE members and cooperating European networks. If you are interested in more information about the tool, and eventually to use it, please contact INFORSE-Europe by email to ove@inforse.org.

INFORSE has also compiled Planning Tools to be used in conjunction with establishing Vision 2050 models, including a guideline for assessment of renewable energy potentials, employment etc.

INFORSE has been involved in the development of a wind power strategy for EU. This is one of the inputs for the European Vision 2050. Read more: wind strategy and campaign.